Population forecast
Population projections provide estimates of the future size, gender and age composition of the population. It is important to stress that population projections are not accurate predictions about the future, but are the result of calculations determined by assumptions about births, deaths and migration. If our assumptions are not met, the actual developments will deviate from the projection.
Our assumption on fertility and mortality are based on experiences from the period 2010 – 2014, while assumptions on migration are based on the latest 10-year period.
Summary table 9.1. Population 2016-2024
|
|
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
|
Total |
55.857 |
55.744 |
55.615 |
55.480 |
55.344 |
55.193 |
55.040 |
54.877 |
54.721 |
|
Persons born in Greenland |
49.834 |
49.690 |
49.546 |
49.390 |
49.229 |
49.072 |
48.900 |
48.726 |
48.533 |
|
Persons born outside Greenland |
6.023 |
6.054 |
6.069 |
6.090 |
6.115 |
6.121 |
6.140 |
6.151 |
6.188 |
Source: Statistics Greenland, http://bank.stat.gl/BEEPROG
I summary table 9.1 and table 5 results from the projections can be seen. For more details – visit http://bank.stat.gl/BEEPROG . The forecast is calculated on both ‘persons born in Greenland’ and those ‘born outside Greenland’. The two subpopulations evolve in different directions. The persons born in Greenland, are expected to decrease steadily from 49,975 persons in 2015 to 48,533 persons in 2024. The ‘persons born outside Greenland’ are expected to increase from 6,009 persons in 2015 to 6,188 in 2024. The total population will decrease over the next decade